The present invention provides methods and apparatus, including computer program products, to predict a future price range for a desired volume of a traded item. This includes determining a price range based on a set of historical transactions having a comparison volume corresponding to the desired volume of the traded item. It may also include selecting transactions from historical transaction data to generate the set of historical transactions. It may also include selecting historical transactions such that the set of historical transactions has a total volume substantially equal to the comparison volume. It may also include selecting historical transactions such that the set of historical transactions has a total volume greater than the comparison volume and selectively removing one or more historical transactions from the set of historical transactions until the set of historical transactions has a total volume substantially equal to the comparison volume.
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