Method and system for computing path dependent probabilities of attaining financial goals
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United States of America Patent
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Mar 24, 2009
Grant Date -
Aug 24, 2006
app pub date -
Apr 17, 2006
filing date -
Jul 31, 2000
priority date (Note) -
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Abstract
A method and system for computing the probability of attaining one or multiple financial goals is disclosed. Each goal is analyzed and reduced to a series of cash flows. A threshold criterion of success is established. A plurality of paths are generated. Each path is checked on the basis of the success criterion established earlier and those that do not meet the success criterion are considered failures. The probability of success is a function of the paths that are not failures.
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