Method and system to model risk of unplanned outages of power generation machine
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United States of America Patent
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Feb 7, 2017
Grant Date -
Sep 12, 2013
app pub date -
Mar 8, 2012
filing date -
Mar 8, 2012
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Abstract
A method to determine a risk of failure for a machine including: generating a first value for a risk of failure of the machine, wherein the first value is determined by a first model receiving as an input a condition of the machine and the first model includes a relationship derived from historical machine failures and correlating the input condition of the machine to a value for the risk of failure; generating a second value of the risk of failure of the machine, wherein the second value is determined by a second model receiving as an input information regarding wear or degradation of the machine and the second model includes a relationship correlating the input information regarding wear or degradation to a value for the risk of failure, and determining a total risk of failure based on the first and second values of the risk of failure.
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